Super El Nino or Not

From the Ag Information Network, I’m Bob Larson. It looks like we can expect the weather to heat up significantly over the weekend here in the Pacific Northwest.

I asked University of Washington Atmospheric Sciences Professor, Cliff Mass, if this is part of that ‘Super El Nino’ that some are predicting this year? …

MASS … “In fact, it appears not. In fact, the latest model runs, the latest long-term simulations suggest that it’s going to be tailing down by this winter.”

The new information, Mass says is that we are not headed for a Super El Nino and that it will probably be a more moderate one this winter …

MASS … “I mean, if you go to the latest forecasts, all of the sudden, you know, it peaks in like September and then it starts declining a bit. So, the Super El Nino now, I think is sort of off the table based on these. So, I mean, the most probable is a moderate. Could be strong, but the super one does not appear to be probable at this point.”

As for the summer, Mass says things are looking fairly normal …

MASS … “The situation looks very favorable at this point. You know, El Nino doesn’t have that much effect on the summer, so that’s not a danger. The models right now indicate this month, have one heat wave and then it’s going to get cool and rainy again. You know, that’s the story.”

After the weekend heat, Mass says the forecast calls for things to cool off again with more precipitation on the way.

To learn more from Cliff, go to his blog at www.cliffmass.blogspot.com