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December Chicago wheat ended Friday with modest gains but well off the session highs that were put in place early in the morning. The Stock Market fell sharply as the dollar strengthened, crude oil had sharp losses as did precious metals.
Grains were off and running on Thursday and didn't look back as USDA released its Supply and Demand reports with corn, soybeans and wheat all posting sharp gains.
Wheat futures faced pressure throughout the day, but they did move off their lows into the close on Tuesday.
Wheat futures finished near weekly highs on Friday after price pressure earlier in the week. Much of the late-week strength came courtesy of heavy pressure on the U.S. dollar.
Ample U.S. wheat supplies mean the wheat market needs either spillover support from corn or a fresh dose of fundamentally supportive news to rally. Both were lacking Wednesday, which encouraged profit-taking following Tuesday's strong gains. ?
Chicago September wheat traded sharply higher into the close Thursday and posted a new weekly high for the move.
Grain and soybean bids traded moderate to sharply lower on bleak economic news from Europe on Monday.
Wheat futures favored a weaker tone throughout the day Tuesday. Futures saw light profit-taking following Monday's gains, as wheat continues to follow the daily price changes in the corn pit.
Strong gains in the corn market due to weather concerns made it easy for wheat to rally on Monday.
A lack of rain in the forecast, supportive outside markets, and bullish
fundamentals supported the grain complex to differing degrees Thursday with sharp gains mostly the result.
Farm of the Future
The market sold off fairly sharply led by more active fund trader selling. Improving weather also hit the other grains and this bled over to the wheat markets to pressure.
July wheat opened slightly lower and closed sharply lower on Wednesday with aggressive fund selling noted late in the day.
The early selling pushed the market lower and futures saw choppy to higher trade for much of Monday until late selling drove July wheat sharply lower and to new lows of the day late in the session.
Wheat futures staged a choppy day of trade at all three exchanges, but market bears gained momentum into the close on Thursday. Chicago wheat posted slight losses for the week.
The steep drop in plantings for spring wheat plus ideas that funds needed to exit shorts helped to drive the market sharply higher.
Wheat futures posted double digit losses at all three exchanges, with selling pressure concentrated in Chicago. World supplies are adequate overall and prices are in balance with demand.
The market could not hold onto the day's early gains on Tuesday as improving crop conditions and ideas that the weather outlook for the next two weeks may mean that winter wheat crops will continue to improve helped to pressure the market.
Traders in the wheat market focused on removing risk ahead of USDA's Supply & Demand Report Friday morning. The report is expected to show plentiful U.S. and global wheat supplies.
USDA raised its forecast for plantings this year.
The weaker US dollar, a jump in equity prices and news that Egypt bought US wheat for the first time since June helped to support the wheat market Monday.